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I think there's almost no chance of a Versailles like outcome, unless it's a matter of the world banding together and keeping almost all of their off-shored money from returning. Oh well, never believe you know for sure what will happen.

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My impression is that Russia is hardly even a state, let along a democracy. I get the impression that Putin's big assassinations were carried out by pick-up teams. No paperwork, no receipts. Its institutional ineptitude against Ukraine shows this over and over, and the fact that the Wagner Group is off doing its own thing, maybe trying to make Prigozhin a hero. They've gone back to 18th century ways of impressing soldiers. For a people so well educated, before it all fell apart, it's pitiful that they have to base their economy almost solely on hydrocarbon extraction.

Everybody should watch Ryazan Sugar or the Assassination of Russia and see what a bunch of ordinary Russians could be like in 2000, being interviewed in a TV studio before the country was beaten down by 20 years of Putinism, when the KGB (or whatever -- too many initials) was caught trying to blow up their building - a fuck-up in the very operation that put Putin in power. Maybe the diaspora can do something like what the Irish diaspora did for their country.

It seems like time for this event to be totally accepted as fact, or at least by far the most plausible explanation. I think it might just tip things over.

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